Chirevo chitsva chakaitwa nevazhinji-vane simba renewable renewable energy policy network REN21 yakabudiswa svondo rino inoona kuti ruzhinji rwenyanzvi dzepasi rose pamusoro pesimba dzine chivimbo chekuti pasi rose rinogona kuchinjika kune remangwana resimba rinogonekazve panosvika zana repakati pezana rino.
Nekudaro, chivimbo mukugoneka kweshanduko iyi inotenderera kubva mudunhu kuenda kune dunhu, uye kune fungidziro yepasirese yekuti zvikamu zvakaita sezvekufambisa zvine zvimwe zvekuita kana ramangwana ravo richizove rakachena 100%.
Chirevo ichi, chakanzi REN21 Renewables Global Futures, chakaisa misoro yenhaurirano gumi nembiri kunyanzvi zana nembiri dzine mukurumbira dzesimba dzakatorwa kubva kumativi mana epasi.Chinangwa chaive chekukuchidzira nekukonzeresa gakava pamusoro pematambudziko makuru akatarisana nesimba rinodzokororwa, uye yaive nekuchenjerera kubatanidza vanopokana renewable energy sechikamu cheavo vakaongororwa.
Hapana kufanotaura kana kufungidzira kwakaitwa;asi, mhinduro nemafungiro enyanzvi zvakabatanidzwa kuitira kuti pave nemufananidzo wakabatana wekuti vanhu vanotenda kuti ramangwana resimba riri kunanga kupi.Mhinduro inonyanya kukosha ndeyeyakawana kubva kuMubvunzo wekutanga: "100% inovandudzwa - mhedzisiro ine musoro yeChibvumirano cheParis?"Kune izvi, vanopfuura 70% yevakapindura vakatenda kuti nyika inogona kuve 100% inopihwa simba renewable simba ne2050, neEuropean neAustralia nyanzvi dzinotsigira zvakanyanya maonero aya.
Kazhinji pakanga paine "kubvumirana kukuru" kuti zvinovandudzwa zvichatonga chikamu chemagetsi, nenyanzvi dzichiona kuti kunyange makambani makuru epasi rose ave kuwedzera kusarudza zvigadzirwa zvemagetsi anogona kudzokororwa kungave kubva kune zvekushandisa kuburikidza nekudyara kwakananga.
Inenge 70% yenyanzvi dzakabvunzurudzwa dzaive nechivimbo chokuti mari yezvigadziriswa icharamba ichidonha, uye ichaderedza nyore nyore mari yemafuta ose efossil ne 2027. Saizvozvowo, vazhinji vane chivimbo chokuti kukura kweGDP kunogona kuparadzaniswa kubva pakuwedzera kushandiswa kwesimba, pamwe nenyika. zvakasiyana-siyana sezvakaitwa neDenmark neChina semienzaniso yenyika dzakakwanisa kuderedza kushandiswa kwesimba asi dzichiri kunakidzwa nekukura kwehupfumi.
Matambudziko makuru akaonekwa
Tarisiro yeramangwana rakachena pakati penyanzvi zana negumi nembiri yakapfaviswa nemaitiro akajairwa ekuzvidzora, kunyanya pakati pemamwe manzwi muJapan, US neAfrica apo kusava nechokwadi pamusoro pekugona kwematunhu aya kushanda zvizere pa100% simba rinodzokororwa rakanga rakatekeshera.Kunyanya, zvishuwo zveindasitiri yemagetsi zvechinyakare zvakataurwa sezvipingamupinyi zvakaoma uye zvisingafadzi pakubata kwesimba rakachena.
Kana zviri zvekufambisa, "modal shift" inodiwa kushandura zvizere nzira yemagetsi yakachena yechikamu ichi, chirevo chakawana.Kutsiviwa kweinjini dzinopisa nemadhiraivha emagetsi hakuzokwanirise kushandura chikamu, nyanzvi zhinji dzinotenda, nepo kumbundirana kwakakura kwenjanji-yakavakirwa pane yekufambisa-mumugwagwa kuchave nemhedzisiro yakazara.Vashoma, kunyanguvezvo, vanodavira kuti ikoku kungabvira.
Uye sekare, nyanzvi zhinji dzaishora hurumende dzakatadza kuendesa chokwadi chenguva refu yekudyarazve - kutadza kwehutungamiriri kunoonekwa kure nekure seUK neUS, kusvika kumaodzanyemba kweSahara Africa neSouth America.
"Chirevo ichi chinopa maonero akasiyana-siyana enyanzvi, uye chinangwa chekusimudzira nhaurirano nekukakavadzana pamusoro pemikana nematambudziko ekuwana 100% remangwana resimba rinovandudzwa pakati pezana remakore," akadaro munyori mukuru weREN21 Christine Lins.“Mafungiro echido haatisvitsi ikoko;nekungonzwisisa zvizere matambudziko uye kuita gakava rine ruzivo pamusoro penzira yekuakunda, hurumende dzinogona kutora marongero akakodzera uye zvinokurudzira zvemari kuti vakurumidze kukurumidza kutumirwa.
Sachigaro weREN21 Arthouros Zervos akawedzera kuti vashoma vangadai vakatenda kumashure muna 2004 (pakavambwa REN21) kuti panosvika 2016 simba rinodzokororwa raizotora 86% yezvese magetsi matsva eEU aisirwa, kana kuti China ndiyo yaizove simba repasi rose rakachena."Kufona ipapo kwe100% simba rinowanikwazve hakuna kutorwa zvakanyanya," akadaro Zervos."Nhasi, nyanzvi dzepasi rose dzesimba dziri kuita nhaurirano dzine musoro pamusoro pekuita kwayo, uye munguva ipi."
Zvimwe zvakawanikwa
Chirevo che '12 nharo' dzakabata pamusoro pemisoro yakasiyana-siyana, kunyanya kubvunza nezve 100% renewable simba remangwana, asiwo zvinotevera: kudiwa kwesimba repasi rose uye kushandiswa kwesimba kunogona kurongeka zviri nani;ndiko 'kuhwina anotora zvese' kana zvasvika pakugadzirwa kwemagetsi anovandudzwa;Kupisa kwemagetsi kuchapfuura kupisa;ingani chikamu chemusika chinozodiwa nemotokari dzemagetsi;ndiko kuchengetedza mukwikwidzi kana mutsigiri wegetsi remagetsi;mikana yemaguta makuru, uye simba renewables 'kuvandudza kuwana simba kune vese.
Idzo 114 nyanzvi dzakavhoterwa dzakatorwa kubva pasirese, uye REN21 shumo yakarongedza mhinduro dzavo dzepakati nedunhu.Aya ndiwo mapinduriro akaita nyanzvi dzedunhu rega rega:
●KuAfrica, kubvumirana kuri pachena kwaive kwekuti gakava rekuwana simba richiri kuvhara gakava resimba rinogonekazve.
●MuAustralia neOceania chinhu chakakosha chekutora ndechekuti kune tarisiro huru ye100% inovandudzwa.
●Nyanzvi dzeChinese dzinotenda kuti mamwe matunhu eChina anogona kuwana 100% inovandudzwa, asi tenda kuti ichi chinangwa chakanyanya kushuvira pasi rose.
● Chinonyanya kunetsa muEurope ndechekutsigira zvakasimba 100% renewables kurwisa shanduko yemamiriro ekunze.
●MuIndia, gakava re100% renewables richiri kuenderera mberi, nehafu yevakabvunzurudzwa vachitenda kuti chinangwa hachingaite panosvika 2050.
● Kunharaunda yeLatam, gakava pamusoro pe100% renewable harisati ratanga, nezvimwe zvinhu zvakanyanya kumanikidzira zvino patafura.
● Zvipingamupinyi zvemuchadenga zveJapan zviri kudzikisira tarisiro pamusoro pekugona kwe100% kugadziridzwazve, nyanzvi dziri munyika dzakati.
● MuUnited States mune kusava nechokwadi kwakasimba pamusoro pe100% renewables nenyanzvi mbiri chete kubva pasere dzinovimba kuti zvinogona kuitika.
Nguva yekutumira: Jun-03-2019